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DENVER, CO – DECEMBER 11: Nathan MacKinnon #29 of the Colorado Avalanche warms up prior to facing the Winnipeg Jets at Pepsi Center on December 11, 2014 in Denver, Colorado. The Avalanche defeated the Jets 4-3 in an overtime shootout. (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

Nathan MacKinnon and the Sophomore Slump

The fabled “sophomore slump” is one of those media-driven narratives I mentioned in this post. It’s a storyline people believe instinctively, based on small sample sized anecdotal evidence. “Nathan MacKinnon regressed in his second year,” people say, “so ALL second year players probably struggle.” The reasons cited for the slump are many: increased expectations, more […]

TAMPA, FL – MAY 7: Alex Killorn #17 of the Tampa Bay Lightning takes a shot on Carey Price #31 of the Montreal Canadiens in Game Four of the Eastern Conference Semifinals during the 2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Amalie Arena on May 7, 2015 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Mike Carlson/Getty Images)

Analyzing all of the possible outcomes of an NHL playoff series

In a recent post, I outlined some of the information I found about best-of-seven Stanley Cup Playoff series from 1942-2014, and which of the seven games have statistically been the most important. I suggested some alternative formats, which would actually allow teams with home ice advantage to host more games in a series than their […]

Statistically, which game is the most important in an NHL playoff series?

I was dead wrong. I had an idea for a study and went into it with a concrete, seemingly well reasoned hypothesis. It could not have been further from the truth. To summarize: my father always had spouted the idea that the even-numbered games in a playoff series were the most important, and through years […]

New salary cap site General Fanager lauded by hockey fans

Much to Gary Bettman’s chagrin, there’s a new CapGeek. Presenting General Fanager. absence was felt far and wide. Sure, there had been imitators; NHL Numbers had one. So did Hockey Buzz. But neither was as easy to use, easy to understand, or as deadly accurate as CapGeek. Wuest’s accuracy was praised even by NHL general […]

MONTREAL, QC – JUNE 26: Executive Vice President and General Manager Ray Shero of the Pittsburgh Penguins speaks at the podium during the first round of the 2009 NHL Entry Draft at the Bell Centre on June 26, 2009 in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

Unearned hype surrounds Ray Shero as new Devils GM

Lou Lamoriello’s move away from the position of New Jersey Devils General Manager was only a matter of time. We knew this was coming, we just didn’t know when. We finally got our answer. Presumably, the Devils and Lamoriello waited to make this move until a suitable replacement for Lamoriello was in place. While most of the hockey world […]

CHICAGO, IL – APRIL 25: Members of the Chicago Blackhawks and the Nashville Predators shake hands after Game Six of the Western Conference Quarterfinals during the 2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at the United Center on April 25, 2015 in Chicago, Illinois. The Blackhawks defeated the Predators 4-3 to win the series. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Are the NHL playoffs really a “different animal” from the regular season?

The sports world is full of narratives, and hockey is not immune to their pitfalls. Narratives are woven so deeply into the culture of the sport that fans, broadcasters, and general managers alike fall victim to narratives without realizing it. We hear so often about “grit” and its cousins “sandpaper” and “determination,” etc. and their […]

UNIONDALE, NY – APRIL 19: A playoff logo appears on the ice prior to the game between the New York Islanders and the Washington Capitals in Game Three of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals during the 2015 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at the Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum on April 19, 2015 in Uniondale, New York. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

The average NHL playoff series is getting longer

The heartbeat of the playoffs is the beautiful creation called the 7-Game Series. We take it for granted, at times, but the genius of it is everlasting; it provides a rhythm, a consistency, to the madness of the postseason. Since the dawn of the Original 6 era in 1942, there have been 614 completed 7-Game Series […]

CALGARY, AB – APRIL 9: The Calgary Flames salute the crowd after defeating the Los Angeles Kings during an NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on April 9, 2015 in Calgary, Alberta, Canada. The Flames defeated the Kings 3-1. (Photo by Derek Leung/Getty Images)

The 10 biggest surprises from the 2014-15 NHL regular season

The NHL’s regular season ended on Saturday, and while all eyes will now turn to the playoffs, it’s worth remembering some of the biggest surprises—both positive and negative—of the 82-game marathon. These are developments that would have sounded so absurd if you’d predicted them in October. Yet here we are, desperately trying to pick our […]

SUNRISE, FL – MARCH 21: Jaromir Jagr #68 of the Florida Panthers prepares for a face-off against the Boston Bruins at the BB&T Center on March 21, 2015 in Sunrise, Florida. The Panthers defeated the Bruins 2-1 in a shootout. (Photo by Joel Auerbach/Getty Images)

In appreciation of Jaromir Jagr

There comes a moment in every great athlete’s career when the inexorable forces of time and age win out, and all of a sudden, the world sees that he just doesn’t have it anymore. Amazingly, that time doesn’t appear to be anywhere on the horizon for Jaromir Jagr. So, as Jagr approaches the end of […]

DENVER, CO – APRIL 17: A detail photo of the logo on the ice as it is ready for action as the Minnesota Wild face the Colorado Avalanche in Game One of the First Round of the 2014 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Pepsi Center on April 17, 2014 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

Should the NHL try daytime weekday playoff games?

The NCAA Tournament is still going, but let’s be frank: the best part is done. The first two days of the Tournament, which take place on the third Thursday and Friday of March every year, feature 32 games in a 36-hour span from noon on Thursday to midnight on Friday. Many sports fans consider those […]

SAN JOSE, CA – NOVEMBER 05: Joe Thornton #19 of the San Jose Sharks in action against the Buffalo Sabres at SAP Center on November 5, 2013 in San Jose, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

Joe Thornton tells Sharks GM Doug Wilson to “Shut his mouth”

There might be no more fascinating—in a “can’t look away from a train wreck” kind of way—team than the San Jose Sharks right now. After years of building a hockey team the right way, of dominating possession and making the playoffs consistently, the lack of advancing to the Cup Final has taken its toll. This […]

5 Apr 2000: The St. Louis Blues pose with the President”s Trophy for the best regular season record in the league at the Kiel Center in St. Louis, Missouri. The Blues beat the Calgary Flames 6-5. DIGITAL IMAGE

The best teams that failed to win the Stanley Cup

The Stanley Cup Playoffs are nearly impossible to predict. And as we know, recent Presidents’ Trophy winners have struggled to win the more important team trophy; only two of the previous 10 Presidents’ Trophy winners have also won the Stanley Cup. Anything can happen in a best-of-seven series, including the lesser team prevailing. Even juggernaut regular season […]

OTTAWA, ON – JANUARY 21: Daniel Winnik #26 of the Toronto Maple Leafs prepares for a faceoff against the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre on January 21, 2015 in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Jana Chytilova/Freestyle Photography/Getty Images)

Leafs show how to game the market by trading value players

By and large, NHL general managers seem to undervalue third and fourth liners in July. So many good ones go unsigned well into free agency. To wit, Daniel Winnik, whom both numbers people and non-numbers people agree is a good player, wasn’t signed until July 28th. And he just fetched second and fourth round draft […]

NHL rolls out advanced stats page to mixed reactions

The advanced stats trend achieved a milestone today: public acceptance of the movement by the NHL. It’s been a long, arduous struggle for the advanced stats community that dates back to the 2004-2005 NHL Lockout. As the Marek vs. Wyshysnki podcast has noted often, the Internet kept hockey alive during those difficult hockey-less days. The […]

BOSTON, MA – JANUARY 13: Ben Bishop #30 of the Tampa Bay Lightning tends net during the game against the Boston Bruins at TD Garden on January 13, 2015 in Boston, Massachusetts. The Bruins defeat the Lightning 4-3. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

Is bigger really better for NHL goaltenders?

My Dad used to wonder: “Why don’t teams just get a sumo wrestler to play goal? He’d clog up the whole net!” As an impressionable young hockey fan, I enthusiastically jumped aboard the bandwagon and clamored for my favorite team to do it. I must’ve missed the hint of sarcasm in his voice. I also hadn’t […]

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