Say what you will about in-game win probability charts, but when the win probability is at 99.9%, usually that’s a pretty good indication of who’s going to win a game- especially when it’s one of the top teams in the country with that win probability vs an unranked team.

No. 3 Oregon had a 99.9% win probability vs unranked Stanford vs 1:51 remaining on Saturday, and lost.

Trailing 24-17, Stanford drove 87 yards in the final two minutes and scored a touchdown on an untimed down to send the game to overtime (after the extra point). Elijah Higgins reeled in a Tanner McKee pass for the touchdown.

On 3rd-and-11 in the first possession of overtime, McKee found John Humphreys for a Stanford touchdown to take the lead.

And on the ensuing possession, Oregon threw an incomplete pass on 4th-and-8 to give Stanford the 31-24 upset victory.

Stanford actually led this game 17-7 at halftime, but Oregon — who entered as an 8.5-point favorite — went on a 17-0 run until the Cardinal tied it with no time remaining.

It’s a huge win for Stanford, who improves to 3-2. Oregon falls to 4-1, and their College Football Playoff chances take a huge hit.

About Matt Clapp

Matt is an editor at The Comeback. He attended Colorado State University, wishes he was Saved by the Bell's Zack Morris, and idolizes Larry David. And loves pizza and dogs because obviously.

He can be followed on Twitter at @Matt2Clapp (also @TheBlogfines for Cubs/MLB tweets and @DaBearNecess for Bears/NFL tweets), and can be reached by email at