We’re just a couple of weeks into free agency and a month away from the draft, but it’s never too early to take a look at how teams are shaping up ahead of the 2023 NFL season.
And on Saturday, DraftKings Sportsbook released the over/under win totals for all 32 NFL teams.
NFL Regular Season Wins are live! pic.twitter.com/k3fIX62go3
— DraftKings Sportsbook (@DKSportsbook) March 25, 2023
The Cincinnati Bengals, San Francisco 49ers, and defending champion Kansas City Chiefs all have an over/under of 11.5 wins. It’s worth noting that the Chiefs have gone over their preseason win total in all but one season under head coach Andy Reid (h/t: Johnathan Wood).
Andy Reid has gone over his preseason win total in every season except one since becoming the #Chiefs Head Coach in 2013 pic.twitter.com/8AbLcmvjLS
— SumerSports (@sumersports) February 6, 2023
After going 7-10 and finishing last in the AFC East in 2022, the New York Jets have an over/under of 9.5 wins. That over/under would surely be lower if the Jets were not able to acquire quarterback Aaron Rodgers from the Green Bay Packers. As for the Packers, their over/under comes in at 7.5, tied for the lowest total in the NFC North. Green Bay is expected to start Jordan Love at quarterback.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are massive favorites in the AFC South entering the third season of quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Jacksonville has an over/under of 10.5 wins, followed in the AFC South by the Tennessee Titans at 7.5 wins, Indianapolis Colts at 6.5 wins, and the Houston Texans at 5.5 wins.
The Carolina Panthers own the No. 1 overall pick after a blockbuster trade with the Chicago Bears that included sending Chicago star wide receiver D.J. Moore. Carolina has an over/under of 7.5 wins, which may seem high when considering that they’ll likely start a rookie quarterback for much of the 2023 season, but it demonstrates how ugly the NFC South looks on paper. The New Orleans Saints — who signed former Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr — have an over/under of 9.5 wins, the Atlanta Falcons are at 7.5 wins, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers — following Tom Brady’s retirement — have the division’s lowest win total at 6.5 wins.
The Bears have an over/under of 7.5 wins after an NFL-worst 3-13 record in 2022. Chicago has improved its roster on both sides of the ball and has four picks in the top-64 of the upcoming draft.
Oddsmakers are not buying the Minnesota Vikings this time around, with the over/under currently at 8.5 wins. They Vikings went 13-4 in 2022, but they had a -3 point differential.
Vegas clearly not buying the one-score win luck for Vikings or Giants. Both open at 8.5
Eagles went 7-1 in one score games too, open at 10.5 (over – 150)
On the flip side, Bears were 1-7 in one score games
Broncos, Raiders were 4-9. Browns 2-6. https://t.co/rdjKKCPyca
— Brad Spielberger, Esq. (@PFF_Brad) March 25, 2023
Will the Denver Broncos look much better in year two of Russell Wilson at quarterback? Denver has an over/under of 8.5 wins after a five-win campaign in 2022. The addition of Sean Payton as head coach surely plays a big part in that optimism.
The Arizona Cardinals are tied with the Texans for the lowest over/under at 5.5 wins. Quarterback Kyler Murray tore his ACL in December, leaving his 2023 status in question. Jonathan Gannon takes over for Kliff Kingsbury as Arizona head coach.
Here’s a look the over/under win total for each NFL team in 2023:
Cincinnati Bengals: 11.5
Kansas City Chiefs: 11.5
San Francisco 49ers: 11.5
Buffalo Bills: 10.5
Jacksonville Jaguars: 10.5
Philadelphia Eagles: 10.5
Cleveland Browns: 9.5
Dallas Cowboys: 9.5
Detroit Lions: 9.5
Los Angeles Chargers: 9.5
Miami Dolphins: 9.5
New Orleans Saints: 9.5
New York Jets: 9.5
Baltimore Ravens: 8.5
Denver Broncos: 8.5
Minnesota Vikings: 8.5
New York Giants: 8.5
Pittsburgh Steelers: 8.5
Seattle Seahawks: 8.5
Atlanta Falcons: 7.5
Carolina Panthers: 7.5
Chicago Bears: 7.5
Green Bay Packers: 7.5
Las Vegas Raiders: 7.5
Los Angeles Rams: 7.5
New England Patriots: 7.5
Tennessee Titans: 7.5
Washington Commanders: 7.5
Indianapolis Colts: 6.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6.5
Arizona Cardinals: 5.5
Houston Texans: 5.5
The Chiefs are the Super Bowl LVIII favorites on DraftKings at +600, followed by the 49ers (+700), Eagles (+750), Bengals (+850), and Bills (+850).