ArticlesFeaturedGamblingNFLOriginalsBy Matt Clapp on

The 2024 NFL Draft has come and gone, and now we look ahead to the actual season. While a lot can happen between now and September (especially on the health front), we have a pretty good idea of what the rosters will look like when Week 1 arrives.

So, it seems like a good time to check in on the Super Bowl LIX odds, and that’s what we’ll do here!

First, we’ll take a look at the latest Super Bowl LIX title odds via DraftKings. And we’ll follow that up with a look at a few teams that have intriguing value at those betting odds.

Super Bowl LIX title odds

Kansas City Chiefs +550
San Francisco 49ers +600
Baltimore Ravens +900
Buffalo Bills +1200
Detroit Lions +1200
Cincinnati Bengals +1300
Houston Texans +1600
Dallas Cowboys +1700
Philadelphia Eagles +1700
Green Bay Packers +1900
New York Jets +2000
Atlanta Falcons +2200
Miami Dolphins +2200
Chicago Bears +3000
Los Angeles Chargers +3000
Los Angeles Rams +3500
Cleveland Browns +4000
Jacksonville Jaguars +4500
Pittsburgh Steelers +5000
Indianapolis Colts +6000
Seattle Seahawks +7500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7500
Minnesota Vikings +8000
New Orleans Saints +8000
Arizona Cardinals +10000
Las Vegas Raiders +10000
New York Giants +10000
Washington Commanders +10000
Denver Broncos +12000
New England Patriots +15000
Tennessee Titans +15000
Carolina Panthers +250000

The two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs are once again Super Bowl favorites, and that’s likely to stay the case — or at least right near the top — entering any season in the Patrick Mahomes era. They’re followed by the defending NFC champion San Francisco 49ers, who have arguably the best overall roster talent in football. The Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, and Detroit Lions round out the top-five. 11 teams have 20/1 or better odds to win the championship.

After a one-win season in 2023 and an offseason that hasn’t provided significant improvements on paper, the Carolina Panthers are easily last in Super Bowl LIX odds at 250/1. The Arizona Cardinals, Las Vegas Raiders, New York Giants, Washington Commanders, Denver Broncos, New England Patriots, and Tennessee Titans all have 100/1 or worse odds.

The Chicago Bears and rookie quarterback Caleb Williams have 30/1 odds to win the Super Bowl, as do former Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh and the Los Angeles Chargers.

Using those odds, here’s our take on four teams outside the top-six that are intriguing sleepers to win Super Bowl LIX:

Houston Texans (+1600)

In Year 1 of C.J. Stroud’s NFL career, he threw for 23 touchdowns, five interceptions, 4,108 yards, and had a passer rating of 100.8. He led the Texans to a 10-7 record in the regular season and became the youngest quarterback in NFL history to win a playoff game.

So, imagine what Stroud could achieve in Year 2, and especially when you factor in what the Texans have added over the offseason: four-time Pro Bowl edge rusher Danielle Hunter (16.5 sacks last season), four-time Pro Bowl wide receiver Stefon Diggs (six straight seasons of 1,000-plus yards), one-time Pro Bowl running back Joe Mixon (1,034 yards, nine touchdowns last season), etc.

Also appealing: the Texans’ over/under win total of 9.5 (over is -140). 

Green Bay Packers (+1900)

It appears the Packers have done it again at quarterback. Jordan Love was truly elite over the Packers’ final eight games of the 2023 regular season, throwing for 18 touchdowns and just one interception. He had a passer rating over 108 in eight of their final 10 games.

In January, Love put together a 157.2 passer rating to lead the Packers to a 48-32 road victory over the Dallas Cowboys in the playoffs.

Love and the Packers did all of this with the league’s youngest roster. Green Bay is an ascending team and in a wide-open NFC that lacks great quarterback play.

Also appealing: the Packers’ NFC North title odds of +210

New York Jets +2000

The Aaron Rodgers trade was the talk of the NFL offseason last year, and then he proceeded to make exactly one pass attempt with the Jets before suffering a season-ending Achilles injury in Week 1.

Rodgers turns 41 in December, and even putting that aside, it remains to be seen if his athleticism and horsepower remain what they were before the injury. But this is one of the best quarterbacks of all time, and he’s just three years removed from an NFL MVP season (his fourth). We just saw Tom Brady play at a high level through age 45. And for legacy purposes, you know that Rodgers would really like to get a second ring.

Even with a disastrous quarterback situation and league-worst offense in 2023, the Jets still won seven games, thanks to a defense that ranked third in DVOA. Get a solid offense — potentially a very good offense if Rodgers is back to himself — to complement that terrific defense, and the Jets would become a very dangerous team. There are much worse 20/1 bets you could make.

Also appealing: the Jets’ AFC East title odds (+200)

[DraftKings Super Bowl LIX odds]

About Matt Clapp

Matt is an editor at The Comeback. He attended Colorado State University, wishes he was Saved by the Bell's Zack Morris, and idolizes Larry David. And loves pizza and dogs because obviously.

He can be followed on Twitter at @Matt2Clapp (also @TheBlogfines for Cubs/MLB tweets and @DaBearNecess for Bears/NFL tweets), and can be reached by email at mclapp@thecomeback.com.

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