Buffalo Bills Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills have a subpar 5-5 record despite having what is statistically one of the best and most efficient offenses in the league. And as it turns out, there might be one very simple thing to blame for their struggles: bad luck.

As NFL analyst Computer Cowboy points out on social media, the Buffalo Bills have had a lot of bad turnover luck this season, starting with quarterback Josh Allen. Even though Allen has one of the worst interception rates in the league and leads the league in total interceptions, he actually ranks pretty high in terms of turnover-worthy plays.

“Josh Allen has the 9th-lowest turnover-worthy play rate out of 38 qualifying QBs (played at least 20% of team’s snaps). Josh Allen has a lower turnover-worthy play rate than Tua, Lamar, Mahomes, and Herbert,” Computer Cowboy said in a post on X, the social media website that was formerly known as Twitter.

The Bills have also been extremely unlucky when it comes to fumbles, losing the ball seven times out of their eight fumbles this year – well below the league-wide recovery rate.

“More on bad luck: The Bills’ offense has fumbled 8 times. They have lost 7 of those (!!) [all except the Cook fumble last night], for a 12.5% recovery rate. League average is 49% recovery rate. The Steelers have an 83% recovery rate! (5 of 6)” Computer Cowboy said in another post.

It’s pretty brutal news that helps explain the team’s struggles, and the NFL world had a lot to say about it on social media.

Maybe the Bills’ luck will turn around in the near future.

[Computer Cowboy]